Memphis vs. Arkansas State odds, line: 2020 college football picks, predictions from proven projection model

Memphis vs. Arkansas State odds, line: 2020 college football picks, predictions from proven projection model

The Memphis Tigers and Arkansas State Red Wolves will meet on Saturday night at 8 p.m. ET for the 58th time in the history of their respective programs. It’s the opening matchup of the season for both teams and they’re coming off solid campaigns in 2019. The Red Wolves went 8-5 last year and got a Camellia Bowl win over FIU, while Memphis went 11-2, won the American Athletic Conference and earned a trip to the Cotton Bowl that ended in a 53-39 loss to Penn State. This game marks the debut for Memphis coach Ryan Silverfield, who takes over with Mike Norvell now at Florida State.

Memphis is hosting on Saturday in the Liberty Bowl and is favored by 18 points with the over-under set at 73 in the Memphis vs. Arkansas State odds from William Hill. These teams have split their last 10 meetings head-to-head against the spread. Before making any Arkansas State vs. Memphis picks, be sure to see the college football predictions from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also went a sizzling 8-2 on all picks against the spread during Championship Week last season. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Memphis vs. Arkansas State. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds from William Hill and trends for Arkansas State vs. Memphis:

  • Memphis vs. Arkansas State spread: Memphis -18
  • Memphis vs. Arkansas State over-under: 73 points
  • Memphis vs. Arkansas State money line: Memphis -1000, Arkansas State +650
  • MEM: QB Brady White finished 9th in the FBS last season with 4,014 passing yards 
  • ASU: Went 5-1 in its last six games in 2019

Why Arkansas State can cover

Memphis lost a huge piece of its offense when running back Kenneth Gainwell decided to opt out of this season. The Tigers were already needing playmakers to step up in place of the versatile Antonio Gibson, a third-round pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. Gainwell’s absence should help simplify Arkansas State’s defensive plan.

And, offensively, the Red Wolves have some quality options at quarterback in co-starters Logan Bonner and Layne Hatcher. Blake Anderson’s squad picked up eight wins last year and the Red Wolves’ only loss by more than 17 points was to then-No. 3 Georgia. With a balanced offensive attack, the Red Wolves have a great chance to keep this game at least within a couple scores.

Why Memphis can cover 

Even so, the Red Wolves aren’t a lock to cover the Memphis vs. Arkansas State spread. The Tigers are coming off their highest final AP ranking in school history after finishing the season as the No. 17 team in the country after their hard-fought loss to Penn State in the Cotton Bowl. And they’ll return a dynamic duo in the passing game with White and wide receiver Damonte Coxie back in action this season.

White threw for 4,014 yards and 33 touchdowns last season, while Cox finished with 76 catches for 1,276 yards and nine touchdowns receiving. The Tigers are 4-2 against the spread in their last six season openers and that talented duo might be too much for the Arkansas State defense to handle on the road as 18-point underdogs.

How to make Memphis vs. Arkansas State picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under the total as no running back for either side hits the 100-yard mark in the simulations. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Arkansas State vs. Memphis? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Memphis vs. Arkansas State spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $3,500 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.

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